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Red54
468030.6
25916.6
575616.3
Blue119
309611.6
719627.7
925519.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5163020408010012014016054119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points52
54Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.60.7
24.825.5
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
red by 2.9
27.71.4
23.825.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Second
5756
#22
16.30.9
14.215.1
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
blue by 3.2
9255
#23
19.41.0
17.818.8
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Third
2591
#39
6.60.9
4.65.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 5.0
3096
#29
11.61.4
9.911.3
Auto1.2
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed