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Red59
961820.1
55329.5
653218.3
Blue32
71914.7
363214.5
47589.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502304060801001205932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
39Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points6
59Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9618
#25
20.11.0
19.320.3
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
red by 5.6
3632
#31
14.50.1
10.510.6
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
18.31.1
15.917.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
red by 9.1
4758
#40
9.20.1
9.79.9
Auto1.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
5532
#10
9.51.0
9.010.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
red by 4.8
7191
#24
4.70.1
4.24.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned4%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed