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Red18
97519.7
65675.4
20484.9
Blue108
12320.0
48546.0
564212.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2134040608010018108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+42
Endgame+38
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
2Coral scored#8
6Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points52
18Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9751
#26
9.70.7
9.99.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 10.3
123
#2
20.01.7
18.219.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Second
6567
#27
5.40.5
6.76.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.7
blue by 7.1
5642
#19
12.51.4
11.112.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
2048
#30
4.90.6
6.15.5
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
blue by 1.1
4854
#28
6.01.7
3.04.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned