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Red96
81532.4
468030.6
Blue64
587821.9
661615.8
485119.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801001209664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
82Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
96Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#12
32.42.7
28.931.6
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
red by 10.5
21.90.7
20.621.4
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Second
4680
#21
30.62.2
25.527.7
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
red by 10.9
4851
#18
19.70.9
17.818.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
9.42.7
5.58.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
blue by 6.4
6616
#20
15.80.9
14.415.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed