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Red43
60966.2
835219.6
43905.3
Blue48
267316.4
519710.7
54789.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293802060801001204348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
22Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points0
43Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.7
16.116.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 3.2
2673
#13
16.41.0
15.116.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Second
6096
#36
6.20.7
5.76.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 4.5
5197
#34
10.71.0
9.210.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Third
4390
#33
5.30.7
4.55.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 3.9
5478
#38
9.21.0
8.49.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed