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Red44
55329.5
12320.0
81532.4
Blue56
587821.9
485119.7
925519.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676302040801001201404456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
23Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
44Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#12
32.40.4
32.832.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
red by 10.5
21.90.3
22.221.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Second
123
#2
20.00.4
20.520.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 0.3
4851
#18
19.70.3
19.919.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
5532
#10
9.50.4
9.99.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 9.9
9255
#23
19.40.3
19.719.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4