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Red102
363214.5
468030.6
835219.6
Blue68
590126.6
1059016.1
819323.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67760204010012014010268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
68Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +34
18Foul points0
102Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.60.5
28.529.0
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
red by 4.1
5901
#11
26.60.0
26.426.4
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
Second
19.60.5
17.417.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 4.4
23.90.0
23.723.8
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Third
3632
#31
14.50.6
12.112.7
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
blue by 1.5
16.10.0
15.915.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5