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Red110
46941.6
965112.5
719627.7
Blue91
587821.9
485119.7
925519.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8459204010012014011091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
26Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#16
64Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
78Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
110Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
41.60.8
39.340.1
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
red by 19.7
21.90.7
21.221.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Second
27.70.8
25.426.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
red by 8.0
4851
#18
19.70.7
18.919.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
9651
#16
12.50.8
10.211.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 7.0
9255
#23
19.40.7
18.719.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4