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Red98
590126.6
1059016.1
819323.9
Blue48
575616.3
661615.8
653218.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71552040801001209848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
67Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +50
12Foul points0
98Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
26.60.5
25.025.6
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
red by 8.3
18.30.1
18.318.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Second
23.90.5
22.422.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 7.6
5756
#22
16.30.1
16.316.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Third
16.10.6
14.314.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 0.3
6616
#20
15.80.1
15.815.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9