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Red98
587821.9
485119.7
925519.4
Blue61
267316.4
602920.9
786518.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666040801009861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
61Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
24Foul points2
98Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.3
21.922.2
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
red by 1.0
20.90.1
20.820.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
Second
4851
#18
19.70.3
19.619.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
red by 1.1
7865
#17
18.60.1
18.518.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
9255
#23
19.40.3
19.419.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
red by 3.1
2673
#13
16.40.1
16.316.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2