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Red167
1058943.9
132220.8
439164.9
Blue50
437525.8
554720.0
608825.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1466905010020016750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+97Teleop
+117Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +79
23Coral scored#8
83Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
111Total teleop32
Reef
12L4#3
7L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +117
0Foul points0
167Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.9
64.064.9
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 39.1
25.80.5
26.325.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Second
43.90.9
43.043.9
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 18.7
6088
#10
25.20.5
25.725.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
1322
#29
20.80.9
19.920.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 0.8
5547
#24
20.00.5
20.520.0
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7