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Red167
1058943.9
132220.8
439164.9
Blue45
437525.8
554720.0
608825.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143735010020016745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+110Teleop
+126Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +93
19Coral scored#5
68Coral points19
4Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
24Processor points0
24Net points4
48Algae points4
116Total teleop23
Reef
9L4#2
6L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#9
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +122
2Foul points6
167Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.9
63.164.0
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 39.1
25.80.8
27.126.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Second
43.90.9
42.143.0
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 18.7
6088
#10
25.20.8
26.525.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
1322
#29
20.80.9
19.019.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 0.8
5547
#24
20.00.8
21.320.5
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7