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Red101
977325.7
1050517.9
776827.5
Blue106
437525.8
554720.0
608825.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73784060100120140101106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
18Processor points12
20Net points4
38Algae points16
83Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
101Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.7
26.827.5
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
red by 1.6
25.80.6
26.527.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Second
9773
#14
25.70.7
25.025.7
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
red by 0.5
6088
#10
25.20.6
25.926.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
17.90.7
17.217.9
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 2.1
5547
#24
20.00.6
20.721.3
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7