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Red81
607915.0
924921.8
778220.3
Blue112
437525.8
554720.0
608825.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5577204010012014016081112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#18
46Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
66Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
81Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.6
21.321.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
blue by 4.0
25.80.9
25.626.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Second
7782
#13
20.30.6
19.720.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
blue by 5.0
6088
#10
25.20.9
25.025.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
6079
#26
15.00.6
14.515.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 5.0
5547
#24
20.00.9
19.820.7
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7