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Red160
1058943.9
132220.8
439164.9
Blue93
977325.7
1050517.9
776827.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142655010020016093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+49Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
22Coral scored#15
80Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
106Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#5
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
160Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.8
62.363.1
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 37.4
27.50.6
26.226.8
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
43.90.8
41.342.1
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 18.2
9773
#14
25.70.6
24.425.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Third
1322
#29
20.80.8
18.219.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 2.9
17.90.6
16.717.2
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8