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Red64
611220.5
360221.5
656924.5
Blue69
607915.0
924921.8
778220.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7858020401001201401606469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
46Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points8
64Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#33
24.50.1
24.524.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
red by 2.6
21.80.1
21.121.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Second
3602
#11
21.50.1
21.521.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 1.2
7782
#13
20.30.1
19.619.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Third
6112
#15
20.50.1
20.620.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 5.5
6079
#26
15.00.1
14.314.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0