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Red56
96748.8
14135.5
973315.5
Blue49
57065.3
482716.1
1050517.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53550204060801005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+7
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
23Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
14Foul points0
56Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.51.2
21.019.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
red by 17.6
17.90.2
18.618.4
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Second
9733
#18
15.51.2
12.711.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 0.6
4827
#17
16.10.2
15.515.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
9674
#38
8.81.2
15.714.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
red by 3.5
5706
#37
5.30.2
13.713.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed