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Red42
972216.6
607915.0
498814.7
Blue56
608825.2
360221.5
85730.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4684020601001201404256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
5Coral scored#5
17Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
27Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
42Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9722
#28
16.60.4
15.415.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 13.6
857
#2
30.21.8
35.333.5
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
Second
6079
#26
15.00.4
16.716.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 10.2
6088
#10
25.21.8
17.315.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
4988
#35
14.70.4
13.513.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 6.8
3602
#11
21.51.8
19.617.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned