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Red38
776827.5
918815.0
570213.3
Blue100
1062211.9
975513.4
439164.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35860206010012014038100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+52
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +46
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
30Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
38Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.1
16.014.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
blue by 37.4
64.91.3
43.144.4
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
Second
9188
#23
15.01.1
9.88.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 1.5
9755
#19
13.41.3
11.512.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
Third
5702
#31
13.31.1
10.79.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 1.4
11.91.3
16.417.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed