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Red33
656924.5
968210.2
Blue110
258634.1
483512.0
954822.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517202040608010012014033110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
18Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points48
33Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#33
24.52.2
22.119.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 9.7
34.10.8
33.032.2
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Second
9682
#22
10.22.2
13.711.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 12.1
9548
#12
22.20.8
18.417.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
9.32.2
11.69.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End3.4
blue by 2.7
4835
#21
12.00.8
11.410.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned