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Red109
437525.8
524720.7
1058943.9
Blue72
977325.7
57065.3
14135.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68532040608010012010972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
60Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points0
109Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.94.1
22.226.3
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 8.4
141
#3
35.52.5
19.822.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
Second
25.84.1
21.425.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
red by 0.1
9773
#14
25.72.5
16.018.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Third
5247
#25
20.74.1
16.820.9
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
red by 15.4
5706
#37
5.32.5
13.516.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned