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Red60
1050517.9
608825.2
132220.8
Blue49
548617.0
96748.8
924921.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575510203040507080906049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
33Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
4Foul points6
60Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#10
25.20.5
15.516.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
red by 3.4
21.81.2
14.413.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Second
1322
#29
20.80.5
14.915.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 3.8
5486
#16
17.01.2
22.221.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
17.90.5
18.418.9
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
red by 9.2
9674
#38
8.81.2
14.613.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed