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Red50
607915.0
85730.2
655812.9
Blue25
663730.8
973315.5
482716.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73510204060801001205025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
28Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
50Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#2
30.21.6
33.531.9
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
blue by 0.6
30.82.5
21.018.4
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
Second
6079
#26
15.01.6
16.314.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 1.1
4827
#17
16.12.5
15.412.8
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
6558
#34
12.91.6
14.212.6
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 2.7
9733
#18
15.52.5
11.69.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed