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Red77
968210.2
954822.2
14135.5
Blue95
918815.0
360221.5
1058943.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585902040801001207795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
12Processor points6
4Net points24
16Algae points30
57Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
77Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.51.3
22.323.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
blue by 8.4
43.93.1
26.329.4
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
9548
#12
22.21.3
17.618.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
red by 0.8
3602
#11
21.53.1
17.820.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Third
9682
#22DQ
10.21.3
11.512.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 4.8
9188
#23
15.03.1
8.711.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed