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Red29
524720.7
548617.0
1050517.9
Blue41
776827.5
498814.7
132220.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714502060801001202941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +16
2Cage & park18
2Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
29Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#25
20.73.5
20.917.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 6.7
27.50.9
14.914.0
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
17.93.5
18.915.3
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 2.9
1322
#29
20.80.9
15.414.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Third
5486
#16
17.03.5
21.017.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 2.3
4988
#35
14.70.9
13.112.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned