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Red59
483512.0
437525.8
608825.2
Blue26
570213.3
482716.1
607915.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6139020801001205926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+43Teleop
+39Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
7Coral scored#2
24Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
38Total teleop8
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points6
59Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.8
25.526.2
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
red by 9.7
4827
#17
16.11.9
12.810.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Second
6088
#10
25.20.8
16.016.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
red by 10.2
6079
#26
15.01.9
14.812.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
4835
#21
12.00.8
10.711.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 1.3
5702
#31
13.31.9
9.77.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed