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Red46
655812.9
663730.8
96748.8
Blue104
972216.6
439164.9
611220.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4494020608012014046104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+58
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points3
17Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
23Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points26
46Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.2
18.418.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
blue by 34.1
64.90.1
44.444.3
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
Second
6558
#34
12.90.2
12.612.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 7.7
6112
#15
20.50.1
19.619.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
Third
9674
#38
8.80.2
13.413.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
blue by 7.8
9722
#28
16.60.1
14.614.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed