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Red52
924921.8
554720.0
524720.7
Blue33
918815.0
548617.0
656924.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54582040801005233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
52Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.2
13.213.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
blue by 2.6
6569
#33
24.52.5
19.917.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
5247
#25
20.70.2
17.417.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
red by 3.7
5486
#16
17.02.5
17.515.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
5547
#24
20.00.2
18.318.1
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
red by 5.1
9188
#23
15.02.5
11.89.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed