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Red84
437525.8
85730.2
778220.3
Blue10
57065.3
968210.2
483512.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8436020601001201408410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
9Coral scored#0
32Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
46Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#0
2L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
20Foul points0
84Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#2
30.21.0
29.528.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
red by 18.2
4835
#21
12.03.0
11.48.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
25.81.0
26.225.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
red by 15.7
9682
#22
10.23.0
12.89.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Third
7782
#13
20.31.0
16.916.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
red by 15.0
5706
#37
5.33.0
12.89.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed