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Red51
1050517.9
498814.7
975513.4
Blue95
1058943.9
570213.3
608825.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262020801001205195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
33Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
51Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.2
15.315.5
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 26.0
43.93.7
29.433.1
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
4988
#35
14.70.2
12.212.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 10.5
6088
#10
25.23.7
16.820.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
9755
#19
13.40.2
12.612.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
red by 0.1
5702
#31
13.33.7
7.711.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed