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Red81
924921.8
132220.8
439164.9
Blue29
611220.5
607915.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8441020601001208129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
13Coral scored#1
45Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
59Total teleop4
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
81Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.0
44.345.4
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 44.4
6112
#15
20.51.5
19.518.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
Second
21.81.0
13.014.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
red by 6.8
6079
#26
15.01.5
12.911.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
1322
#29
20.81.0
14.515.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 11.5
9.31.5
10.18.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned