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Red85
482716.1
258634.1
360221.5
Blue61
663730.8
776827.5
972216.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765202040601001208561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+24Teleop
+28Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
62Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
6L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points6
85Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.12.0
32.934.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 3.4
30.80.6
18.619.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
Second
3602
#11
21.52.0
21.223.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 6.0
27.50.6
16.116.7
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Third
4827
#17
16.12.0
10.912.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
blue by 0.5
9722
#28
16.60.6
14.615.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed