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Red46
1050517.9
778220.3
973315.5
Blue44
554720.0
548617.0
437525.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436802060801001204644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
30Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
46Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7782
#13
20.30.5
16.016.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
blue by 5.5
25.81.6
25.323.7
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Second
17.90.5
15.516.1
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 2.1
5547
#24
20.01.6
18.116.5
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
Third
9733
#18
15.50.5
9.910.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 1.5
5486
#16
17.01.6
15.013.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed