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Red160
656924.5
1058943.9
439164.9
Blue57
96748.8
972216.6
132220.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1163705010015020016057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+85Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#0
18Processor points6
28Net points0
46Algae points6
98Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
18Foul points0
160Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.94.0
45.449.4
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 44.1
1322
#29
20.80.3
15.515.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Second
43.94.0
33.137.1
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 27.3
9722
#28
16.60.3
15.215.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
6569
#33
24.54.0
16.520.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
red by 15.7
9674
#38
8.80.3
12.512.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed