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Red32
483512.0
77135.5
360221.5
Blue31
1062211.9
437525.8
1050517.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3865020801003231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
20Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
32Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#11
21.50.9
23.222.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 4.3
25.83.0
23.720.6
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Second
4835
#21
12.00.9
7.86.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 5.9
17.93.0
16.113.0
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Third
7713
#36
5.50.9
5.74.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End2.7
blue by 6.4
11.93.0
15.912.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed