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Red58
611220.5
776827.5
975513.4
Blue46
973315.5
524720.7
655812.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801005846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#7
27Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
35Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
58Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.4
16.717.1
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
red by 6.7
5247
#25
20.70.2
15.215.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Second
6112
#15
20.50.4
16.016.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 5.0
9733
#18
15.50.2
10.410.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
9755
#19
13.40.4
12.913.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
red by 0.6
6558
#34
12.90.2
12.112.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed