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Red80
14135.5
924921.8
607915.0
Blue40
778220.3
611312.8
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040801001208040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points15
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
45Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
80Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.52.7
27.029.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
red by 15.2
7782
#13
20.30.6
16.517.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Second
21.82.7
13.416.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
red by 9.0
6113
#30
12.80.6
11.712.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Third
6079
#26
15.02.7
9.412.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
red by 5.8
9.30.6
6.77.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed