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Red150
482716.1
439164.9
918815.0
Blue73
554720.0
498814.7
656924.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81540204010012014015073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+69Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points40
5Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
30Processor points6
28Net points12
58Algae points18
114Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
150Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.97.3
49.456.6
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 40.4
6569
#33
24.50.8
20.521.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
4827
#17
16.17.3
10.918.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
blue by 3.9
5547
#24
20.00.8
16.517.3
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
Third
9188
#23
15.07.3
7.414.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 0.3
4988
#35
14.70.8
11.612.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed