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Red40
258634.1
608825.2
96748.8
Blue120
85730.2
1058943.9
977325.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70992040608012014016040120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+74
Endgame+74
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points29
6Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +51
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#5
6Processor points12
0Net points20
6Algae points32
20Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points6
40Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.13.1
36.833.7
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
blue by 9.8
43.93.0
37.140.0
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
6088
#10
25.23.1
18.515.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
blue by 5.0
857
#2
30.23.0
27.930.9
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
Third
9674
#38
8.83.1
12.89.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
blue by 16.9
9773
#14
25.73.0
22.325.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned