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Red93
548617.0
611220.5
14135.5
Blue28
360221.5
607915.0
968210.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70470204060801001209328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+59Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
48Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points0
93Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.52.9
29.732.5
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
red by 14.0
3602
#11
21.51.6
22.320.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Second
6112
#15
20.52.9
16.419.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 5.5
6079
#26
15.01.6
12.110.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
5486
#16
17.03.1
13.416.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 6.9
9682
#22
10.21.7
9.17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed