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Red38
611312.8
524720.7
498814.7
Blue100
439164.9
483512.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418705010015038100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
22Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
38Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#25
20.70.2
15.515.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 44.2
64.92.4
56.659.0
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
Second
4988
#35
14.70.2
12.512.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 2.7
4835
#21
12.02.4
6.99.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
6113
#30
12.80.2
12.212.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
red by 3.5
9.32.4
7.39.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned