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Red41
655812.9
975513.4
608825.2
Blue54
258634.1
1062211.9
554720.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4276020601001204154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
28Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
41Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#10
25.20.9
15.414.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
blue by 8.9
34.11.8
33.731.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Second
9755
#19
13.40.9
13.312.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
blue by 6.6
5547
#24
20.01.8
17.315.5
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
Third
6558
#34
12.90.9
12.411.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 1.0
11.91.8
12.811.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed