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Red51
482716.1
656924.5
778220.3
Blue115
663730.8
1050517.9
1058943.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638820408010012014051115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+64
Endgame+62
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +61
8Coral scored#21
29Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
43Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points2
51Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#33
24.52.0
21.319.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 19.4
43.92.4
40.042.5
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
7782
#13
20.32.0
17.115.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
blue by 10.5
30.82.4
22.124.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
Third
4827
#17
16.12.0
18.216.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
blue by 1.8
17.92.4
13.015.5
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed