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Red41
498814.7
611220.5
57065.3
Blue71
608825.2
607915.0
954822.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801004171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +29
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
41Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6112
#15
20.50.0
19.219.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
blue by 4.7
6088
#10
25.21.9
14.516.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Second
4988
#35
14.70.0
12.312.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 7.5
9548
#12
22.21.9
20.222.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
5706
#37
5.30.0
6.86.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.5
blue by 9.8
6079
#26
15.01.9
10.512.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned