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Red50
918815.0
132220.8
554720.0
Blue96
968210.2
439164.9
437525.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5110701505096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
5Coral scored#15
17Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
25Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
50Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#29
20.80.3
16.817.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
blue by 44.1
64.90.9
59.059.9
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
Second
5547
#24
20.00.3
15.515.8
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
blue by 5.8
25.80.9
20.621.6
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
Third
9188
#23
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 4.8
9682
#22
10.20.9
7.38.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned