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Red41
132220.8
1062211.9
973315.5
Blue96
778220.3
258634.1
918815.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4074020601001201404196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+43
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
28Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points12
41Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#29
20.80.3
17.117.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
blue by 13.4
34.11.3
31.833.1
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Second
9733
#18
15.50.3
9.810.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 4.8
7782
#13
20.31.3
15.016.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Third
11.90.3
11.011.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 3.1
9188
#23
15.01.3
15.016.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed