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Red63
437525.8
14135.5
482716.1
Blue45
77135.5
924921.8
972216.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82320501001506345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
37Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
63Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.50.7
32.531.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
red by 13.7
21.80.9
17.318.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Second
25.80.7
21.620.9
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
red by 9.3
9722
#28
16.60.9
14.014.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
4827
#17
16.10.7
16.215.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 10.6
7713
#36
5.50.9
4.45.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed