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Red65
954822.2
360221.5
977325.7
Blue127
554720.0
439164.9
608825.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74109406010012014016018065127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+54
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
40Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points8
65Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9773
#14
25.70.3
23.923.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 39.2
64.92.4
59.962.3
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
Second
9548
#12
22.20.3
22.121.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
blue by 3.0
6088
#10
25.22.4
16.418.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
3602
#11
21.50.3
22.722.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 1.4
5547
#24
20.02.4
15.818.2
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned