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Red85
776827.5
655812.9
548617.0
Blue64
611312.8
1058943.9
57065.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51782040601001201408564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
14Foul points18
85Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.9
20.422.2
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
blue by 16.4
43.92.4
42.339.8
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
5486
#16
17.01.9
15.817.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 4.2
6113
#30
12.82.4
15.413.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Third
6558
#34
12.91.9
10.912.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 7.6
5706
#37
5.32.4
6.84.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned