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Red77
1062211.9
1058943.9
548617.0
Blue61
656924.5
608825.2
14135.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59840501001502007761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points10
77Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.947.0
66.819.8
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 8.4
141
#3
35.52.6
23.621.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
Second
5486
#16
17.02.0
18.620.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
blue by 8.2
6088
#10
25.22.6
19.917.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
Third
11.91.9
17.919.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 12.6
6569
#33
24.52.6
28.125.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed